Saturday, July 26, 2008

The Lie of Limited Supply : The GOP Land Grab Is ON


U.S. Oil Supplies Are Higher Today Than at Any Time During the 90's


Yesterday the Senate failed to advance the Stop Excessive Energy Speculation Act (S3268), a bill which would have eliminated excessive speculation by changing the definition of “legitimate hedge trading” to include only those producers and purchasers of actual physical energy commodities, and places limits on trading by those who are not trading actual physical petroleum products."

The vote was 50-43, 10 votes shy of the 60 necessary to invoke cloture, end debate, and get some real oil/gas price relief underway. The vote fell along party lines--with Democrats voting to restore sanity to an out of control market by reigning in speculation and Republicans voting to keep the lie of limited supply going and the hope big oil has (and has had since 1980) for a land grab alive.

Given the choice to make what many experts believe would be an almost immediate and drastic difference (up to 60% reduction) in the price of oi and gasoline, the Republicans chose instead to side with big oil and speculators and against closing what is the real culprit behind crippling energy prices--the "Enron Loophole."

Their plan? Lie and hope no one with bothers to check the facts. Hope that no one fires up their browser and checks out the Bush Administration's own Energy Information Administration figures. Hope against hope that if a person does check those numbers that they don't graph them and put the visual kibosh on GOP LIES by posting such graph of the data on their blog. See the pretty bar graph at the end of this post?. Oops... (got a plan B boys?).

They are betting that they, along with help from the Bushed Administration, can pull the wool over the American public's eyes and get environmentally protected areas opened to exploitation by oil companies for what amounts to what even John McCave-in admits will be nothing more than a short term psychological effect on a financially pained American psyche.

For those unfamiliar with the "Enron Loophole", the following short clip (from the must see documentary film Enron:The Smartest Guys in the Room) should prove equal parts enlightening and infuriating. Energy traders laughed about steeling money "from those poor fucking grandmothers" then, and they are doing it again today (as Ben Stein has pointed out). The the Right refused to protect Americans then, and it's doing it again now. The arguments being made now on behalf of drilling will one day look as preposterous as Cheney's defense of Enron back then.

"The problem you had in California was caused by a combination of things: an unwise regulatory scheme, because they didn't really deregulate. Now they're trapped from unwise regulatory schemes, plus not having addressed the supply side of issues. They've [Californians] obviously created major problems for themselves." —Vice-President Dick Cheney, May 17, 2001, on PBS's Frontline



The Lie and The Lang Grab:

Republicans, and those in the Energy and Financial industries, say that increased demand and decreased supply are at the core of high oil and gas prices. LIES. This disingenuous rallying cry of Republicans (soulless oil and financial industry shills that they are) has found resonance with the same uncritical masses on the right who swallow whatever poisonous pablum the right shoves in their mouths. Talk Radio tools and Fox News satisfy their need to be told what to think rather than actually having to think for themselves.

The short supply LIES being shamelessly put forward by the GOP are destructive and craven, and the people who can't find Iraq on a map are eating them up.

Some have even been duped into signing petitions demanding we "Drill Now!" The whole thing would be laughable if the situation weren't so serious. There is almost universal expert agreement that opening environmentally sensitive protected areas to drilling will never have any significant effect on the prices of either gas or oil and would provide only a very short term fix (12-32 years of oil at the low and high estimates) for what is a very long term energy, environmental, National Security problem.

With an economy on the ropes, stagflation in full effect, Republicans are bent on using the glint of fools gold to distract the American public from getting behind any effective redress of high oil prices or any a real plan for energy independence. The Gas and Oil industry have long sought access to Anwar and the Outer Continental Shelf (OCS), and the GOP plans to do whatever it takes to give their corporate masters what they want (and what their lobbyists have paid handsomely for).



The Right has absolutely no shame in using the crisis (which they created (thanks Dr. Phil) via deregulation) of high gas prices to create a ginned up rationale for drilling, and to use that false argument not only to give Exxon what it wants on a platter but also as subterfuge to kill the re-regulation necessary to avoid this speculation fueled crisis in the future. No, given enough cover, GOP Congressional lackeys will continue their attempt make the land grab before the American public wises up.

In what may only be sadly described as a a yet another low in a long pattern of lows, the Bush administration's farce of an energy secretary, Sam Bodman, is joining in the misinformation effort by making false statements himself to bolster the GOP's completely manufactured case:

"Market fundamentals show us that production has not kept pace with growing demand for oil, resulting in increasing prices and increasingly volatile prices. There is no evidence that we can find that speculators are driving futures prices for oil." —Secretary of Energy Sam Bodman, June 21, 2008, on MSNBC



The truth, of course, is that Oil Prices are almost exclusively the result of speculation. Just listen to what that left wing bastion of tree huggers over at BusinessWeek has to say on the matter:

On January of this year, the U.S. used 4% less petroleum than we did a year ago. (Oil demand was down 3.2% in February.) Furthermore, demand has been falling slowly since July of last year. Ronald Bailey of Reason Online has pointed out that worldwide production of oil has risen 2.5% in the first quarter, while worldwide demand has grown by only 2%.


The information presented below has been taken directly from that radical far far left bastion of statistical insanity, the Bush Administration's own Energy information Administration. It should be apparent to all but the legally blind (I'm working on a braille version) that Domestic Oil supplies, far from decreasing, have actually increased during the Bush administration and in large part mirror the upward arc Oil Company Profits have taken during the same period.

In short, THE TRUTH is that Domestic oil on hand is higher today than it was when Bush took office, and significantly higher since 2004 than at any time during the previous 13 years.



Believe your eyes (and the government's own data) and reject the Republican hype. Don't let the Republicans use the fuel cost crisis that they created to grab the land their Big Oil benefactors have been after for decades. They're in it for the money, not America's long term best interests, and they're betting you won't bother to check the facts. Don't let them twist the facts surrounding this crisis in order bypass critical thought and put into action drilling plans long on the books of Big Oil backers.

But hey, it's not like Republicans would ever use a crisis to get what they wanted all along? Is it?

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24 comments:

lot 2 learn said...

I applaud you for this post. The commercial media reports only what it is paid to report. The American people will never hear this information on prime time, and if they do, they will only hear a portion. So the government can create a crisis, using the media, whenever they wish

Shiva said...

cool blog...
professional looking...
but sadly i am not too much into politics,,,
especially the american politics.

hope u comment back @

CrAzYbLoG
v.CoL

The cup is half full of something I don't like said...

Great post. The left is also at fault. Neither side will compromise. Before speculation is a central problem because the right and left have not come together to create a rational national energy plan.

J.D.H. said...

Outstanding post! It's so easy for the Republicans to blame all of the problems on the Democrats. So many people just don't realize that this storm of economic problems(gas prices, unemployment, etc) had been brewing long before the Dems took control of Congress. This is my first time reading your blog and I LOVE it!!

Jake said...

Another great post Politigal1! I think you encapsulated the summary of lies well. Speculators have billions to manipulate prices. CEOs of the Big Five are hell-bent on driving up the price of their stocks, padding their salaries and severence packages in the uneventful case of bailout, the rich get richer - and the consumers will pay the price for their greed. It's deceitful and treacherous politics.

Adamgv said...

Those who raise gas prices are already killing our children. Take back our country! Acquire the Red Alert Newsletter.

JollyRoger said...

Chimpy proved years ago that he doesn't give a damn what happens to America as long as his cronies get theirs.

And the idiotic wingtard base still considers him to be a great patriot. Barnum was definitely on the money.

Josie said...

Very well researched and interesting post. There is absolutely plenty of blame to go around for oil prices, and very few who are willing to ACTUALLY fix the problem. Its much easier to play scapegoat with the other side than take responsibility. Excellent to see a fellow independent woman political writer out there.

Erica said...

This is a wonderful post! I haven't had the time to read all the sources you cited here, but I am definitely coming back to do so. Such an informative and interesting post on a topic that is so relevant right now (and one that I think most people know little about).

Wouldn't it be sad if Americans bought into what the GOP was telling them? Thankfully, the sitting President is nothing more than a lame duck. Perhaps President-Elect Obama will propose a better solution ;)

The BoBo said...

Awww! Crap! You busted us Politi-Gal! Guess we're just going to have to start another war to take everyone's focus off this fact! You know, considering how much we have in reserves, the Dems pushing a conservation agenda and raising gas taxes to force conservation even makes more sense!!! Hmmm?

Caledonian Jim said...

It's to be hoped that this blatant profiteering based on oil speculation is the last hurrah of these speculators prior to Bush leaving the scene .

You highlight a wider issue though . The entire current economic crisis has been caused by greedy speculators and incompetent bankers . The fact that on both sides of the pond these people are protected by governments at the expense of the man in the street is an obscenity .

VH said...

I disagree with the basic premise of this post.

“Places limits on trading by those who are not trading actual physical petroleum products.”
This bill would have stopped or severely limited public employee pension funds (like Calpers), small investors, and retirement plans from having an opportunity in investing in a valuable commodity. Those of you who believe that “speculators” are somehow manipulating the oil market should ask yourselves the following question—why didn’t Congress also target other dollar-denominated commodities that have skyrocketed in price over the last 3-4 years: natural gas, copper, wheat, or corn? I’m sorry but Democrats played the pander card (liberals with strong “Greenie” sentiments and no understanding of how the market works) by targeting a high profile commodity like oil.

“The lie of limited supply going and the hope big oil has (and has had since 1980) for a land grab alive.”
There is always scarcity in any market—that is why the price of oil (or milk, bread, eggs, beer, t-shirts, etc) will never be zero. Prices are a signal of the elasticity between supply and demand. You correctly mention and quote: “Ronald Bailey of Reason Online has pointed out that worldwide production of oil has risen 2.5% in the first quarter, while worldwide demand has grown by only 2%.” This is a very tight margin considering that if anything happened to disrupt (a storm, Israel threatening Iran, or a terrorist attack on oil supplies) this quoted balance, the margin would quickly tighten. But what is missing here is the question, what will be the FUTURE supply and demand for oil be like? Knowing that drilling/development is restricted by National Oil Companies, restricted drilling in the U.S., the growing economies of China and India, the likely possibility of a disruption—these variables will have an effect on overall oil prices. The evil “speculators” are simply the messengers that bring us the bad news (prices).

As far as “land grab,” the oil companies lease the lands that they would drill on for a given amount of time. They don’t get it for free and forever. There is no “land grab.”

On the “Enron loophole:” This is an attempt by Democrats to add an emotionally charged term to their argument against drilling for domestic supplies. Neat. The so-called “Enron loophole” is a provision inserted in legislation in 2000 which exempted certain oil contract exchanges where transactions were made via computer and telephone, rather than on a trading floor, from regulations that govern other exchange-traded commodities. But Congress ended that practice as part of its most recent farm bill, and there's no evidence that "over the counter" trading has caused the increase in oil prices. I’m sure this won’t stop some “intrepid” Democrat from launching an investigation on the “Enron loophole.”

Finally, notice that price of crude have been down quite a bit over the last 2 weeks. If evil “speculators” were in charge of the market, why does the price of crude EVER go down? Why not always up and up? And why only the last few years? What happened in the 1980’s and 1990’s to the price of crude? We had cheap gas for a long time, huh? Perhaps that is why consumers went out and bought SUV’s instead of little econo-boxes.
One last thing: notice that some traders in oil have actually lost their shirts in the market and haven’t gone whistling down the primrose path.

I could care less about oil companies. They shouldn’t be protected by the government. The same applies to traders. If they make bad bets and go under—that’s too bad. But this whole meme about “evil” speculators and the “evil” oil companies is simply a witch hunt that serves no real purpose.

My 2 cents.

Dolly's Diary said...

You have been given the Brilliante Weblog Award. You can read more about it at http://janetgardner.blogspot.com/2008/07/hi-everyone-i-have-honor-to-have-been.html#links

Congratulations and enjoy your well deserved fame, (there is no obligation attached to this award)

bloggernoob said...

wow what a mother post. very long and detailed. thanks for you insight and i'm glad you're informing the public about the trash in washington. i want to see what's behind those pretty eyes of yours, but i can understand you wanting to hide your identity. ;)

The cup is half full of something I don't like said...

Not entirely unrelated:

pee-around=dry diaper but wet surroundings.
pee-throug=diaper supper wet and wet surroundings.
poop-around=see pee around but browner (the most difficult of the four)
poop-through=see pee-around but browner

Aaron Brand said...

If we aren't in need of more oil, why did the Dems push for ceasing to fill the reserves?

Politi Gal said...

lot 2 learn Pleasure to make your acquittance! It is great to hear from you, and might I say I admire anyone who commits to the "unto thine own self be true" approach to life!

shiva Thanks for the compliments, and I can absolutely understand how tedious our (or any) political system must seem to those who don't follow it regularly. Best of luck with your blogging!

The cup is half full of something I don't like What you are describing is a political pee-around isn't it? Everyone get's soaked except those that should.

J.D.H. You are so right about the role the GOP has played in creating the curent set of problems we collectively face(both domestically and internationally). It would be nice if they'd start working for the people they are representing, but alas, that is not in their character. No Happy Meals for the average American if the GOP has anything to say about it.

Jake! You are so right! There is definitely treachery afoot here, and the plan on the right is to keep Americans distracted with things unrealted to the price of what goes into their gas tanks. The longer they are able to confuse the issue, the longer the prices stay high, and the more money both speculators and big oil make on the process! Throw in access to previously off limit areas for drilling and that is a Ted Stevens kinda sweet deal. What a recipe!

Adamgv The right ceratainly has no interst in the welfare of either American children or the long term prospect for human-kind on planet earth. They subscribe to the Gordon Gecko school of governance: Greed is good--The future is someone else's problem.

JollyRoger P.T. Barnum wishes he had the caliber of suckers Chimpy, the GOP, Fox, and Talk radio have.

josie Thanks! How true! Scapegoats are nutritionally empty calories on a fattening political menu, and you are right...too often they are the preferred alternative to a more healthful political diet of constructive and co-operative action.

erica Hey Super-Woman! Chimpy=lame is right! Here's hoping all of our prayers will soon be answered!

Bobo! Awww...thanks for bringing the funny! How much we have in reserves is unrelated to our the Dem's (and most American's) recognition that maintaining our long-term addiction to oil/fossil based fuels is an unhealthy proposition across the board. Conservation, increased cafe standards, and research into alternative ways of supplying our energy needs are just ways to chart a path toward a brighter future for America and the rest of the world. The drill now crowd would have us subject environmentally protected areas to exploitation with no significant drop in prices or long term relief from our reliance on foreign oil. So lets act rationally now to reduce prices (reign in speculation) and take the kinds of long term policy steps that will eventually yield true energy independence and a healthier environment for the world's children and grand-children. We are in a global position of strenth now...if we refuse to make difficult changes in energy use/procurement nowafter having been the largest beneficiaries thereof, we will have no moral authority to demand that the billions in China and India make the tough energy choices tomorrowthat will be necessary for our kids to breathe easily generations from now.

Caledonian Jim You make an excellent point!

The repeated manipulation of markets via unregulated speculation isn't limited to oil. Fundamental changes in the regulatory oversight regimes in the U.S.(New York) and E.U. (London) must take place to prevent the next exploitative bubble from popping up elsewhere when this one pops.

VH OK, first thanks for making my point with the Calpers example.

That fund and many others are in the sad state they now find themselves in large part due to "lower global stock prices triggered by turbulence in the credit markets," a sad situation which is the direct result of the deregulatory/anti-regulatory masterwork of one Phil Gramm.

The subprime speculative bubble was/is the direct result of the creation of the unregulated financial instruments known as Unregulated Credit Default Swaps...and...Subprime Derivatives. These were created in by the midnight insertion by Phil Gramm of the 262 page Commodity Futures Modernization Act into a $384 million omnibus spending bill in Dec 2000, while the Gore v. Bush controversy was still swirling. This is also the piece of legislation that created the Enron Loophole.

Sooo...Legislation inserted by Graham in 2000 created the speculative bubble we today know as the Sub-Prime meltdown. After the subprime meltdown began to have its deliterious effects on the Stock market, the gambling that had been taking place in Sub-prime related derivatives shifted in part to another unregulated speculative endeavor,electronically traded energy/oil futures, which would soon create another bubble which has yet to pop.
Oil price, has risen wildly in a manner completely unrelated to any demand/supply curve, and has begun to go down in the past couple of weeks as the realization has begun to sink in amongst the speculators that Congress is intent on clamping down on the practice by introducing new regulation and an increaed number of regulators.

The reason the price of oil/gas didn't go through the roof in the 1980s ans 1990s was because the unregulated speculative window we call the Enron loophole had yet to be created, and there were other bubbles in which traders and fund managers could risk money...like the Tech/Internet Bubble, which burst in 2000, and from which investors jumped into the newly created Sub-Prime/housing derivative speculative market.

I hope I'm being clear here...unregulated speculation is responsible for much of the financial turmoil now plaguing world markets, and as one bubble pops, traders jump into the next area of least regulatory resistance to blow another bubble up (as has been happening with oil) until it too pops..and on and on. The only solution is to introduce market controls that ensure true supply/demand effects are what shapes the commodity markets (not Enron/sub-prime --derivative and credit default swap--style speculation) and that other unregulated vehicles that might wreak financial havoc on the global economy are kept in check.

Speculators(and other corporate/financial agents) have a fiduciary duty to behave in sociopathic ways (watch The Corporatiion)in which concerns outside making the most money legally allowable are not considered (burn, baby, burn).

Pension funds traditionally have a less than a 1% concentration of positions held in commodities and would more than recoup whatever losses they begin to experience through a simple reallocation by fund managers back into more reliable and regulated finacial vehicles (stock markets).

Hope that made some sense...Oh and the Farm Bill (which the EVIL GOP tried to kill...repeatedly) DID NOT address Oil related market speculation, only the Natural Gas portion Enron loophole was eliminated by a provision in the Farm Bill.

(PS..Land grab = Big Oil getting thier mitts on land couldn't hope to before/without the outright lies the GOP is now pushing. It is about resource access not permanent ownership)

Dolly Thanks so much!

Bloggernoob Stah-hop!You are too sweet!

Da Cupster OMG...that is hilarious!

Aaron Brand Sadly..that one was a Democratic designed to undercut the Repunlican supply argument by asking the GOP to put up or shut up if they actually believed limited supply to be the sole cause of outrageous oil/gas prices. Clearly the Repugnicans weren't earnest in their assertions, or thier resolve to get more oil on the market as quickly as possible. No, they're holding out for da land grab.

Daryl said...

Did you catch the Bush in the Rose garden today? I'll give you the short translation.

"I want to make holes. Lot's of them. It's the dems fault you folks out there are suffering."

Something tells me he's going to win this round too.

TrinaB said...

Thanks for continuing to dig low the surface B.S. to the truth. Your blog is always so informative.

ssgreylord said...

As always, I walk away feeling more educated and ready to discuss such high profile issues... I love hearing every angle so that I may make an informed opinion about these issues...

gsmith said...

Wow, smart and pretty eyes, a great combo. Very nice article, I generally agree with most, but not all of what you wrote. Clearly the Senate should have passed S3268, if for no other reason than to eliminate speculation as being a possible source of the problem.

I am a strong believer of the all of the above approach. Both sides have gotten us into this mess, and now we need to do a lot of different things to get us out.

Alternative Energy, conservation, nuclear, higher CAFE mandates, tax credits for PHEV's, and yes, more drilling in the US. Until we can get off the oil, we need to stop sending $800 Billion overseas to people that hate us. In addition, the environmental disaster being spread in Nigeria, Arabia, and Siberia due to lack of environmental regulations is mind-boggling.

Ranjeet Kr. Vimal said...

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Lee said...

The simple fact that the price at the pump reacts immediately to changes in the market price of oil points out that the market is manipulated.

I'm not sure if I believe it but I was told that a franchisee of a gas station told a friend that if he raises the price at the pumps in an attempt to increase his margins the supplier raises the wholesale price. So even the retailer can't get ahead.

Shea said...

I love your blog

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